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The Bull Bear Trader discusses market events and news with an interest in understanding risk and return in both bull and bear markets. Discussion topics include trading and hedging strategies, derivatives, risk management, hedge funds, quantitative finance, the energy and commodity markets, and private equity, as well as an occasional investment opinion.
Tuesday, August 19, 2008
Libor On The Rise
The 3-month London Interbank Offered Rate reached 2.81 percent Monday, the highest it has been since mid-June (see Financial Times article). The Libor is elevated compared to the Federal Funds rate, currently at 2 percent. The difference of 81 bps between Libor and the Fed Funds rate compares to an average spread of just 12 bps that occurred before the beginning of the credit crisis last year, indicating that there is still a lot of stress in the financial system, and that banks are still restructuring. Given that the market has been lowing its expectation of a Fed increase, the rising Libor may be an indication of more problems ahead in the financial system.
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